New Strategic Counsel Poll - Tories Drop

A new poll by Strategic Counsel was released on Saturday that shows a slight dip for the Tories and a slight increase for the Liberals.

Conservatives: 35% (-4)
Liberals: 31% (+2)
NDP: 16% (+2)
Bloc: 10% (-1)
Green: 9% (+2)

May 3rd and 4th, 2006. The Strategic Counsel interviewed 1,000 Canadians, just after the Tory government released its first budget on May 2. The margin of error is 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Analysis: Well the tory drop is outside the margin which suggests that Canadians were responding not only to the budget but also to the mess caused by the four deaths in Afghanistan and the flag flop. Despite Strategic Counsel's poor performance in the past election, the poll does show some movement down for the Conservatives. However, I find the 9% for the Green Party way too high. Especially since they have had no press since the election. I'd be interested to know who they ask this question. SC and Ipsos always has a very high Green vote - something is obviously happening and its probably a result of the methodology used.